Risklərin təhlili və idarə olunmasıSyllabus

Subject code

İF - 4159y

Credits

6

Student workload

180

Semester

Autumn semester

Academic year

20225-2026

Subject type

Mandatory

Form of education

Full-time

Language of instruction

Azerbaijani

In-class hours

a) mühazir - 45; b) seminar - 15.

Out-of-class hours

a) MRTSi- 48; b) TSi - 72.

Risklərin təhlili və idarə olunması mümkün təhlükələrin müəyyən edilməsi və onların qarşısının alınması prosesidir. bu zaman risklərin səbəbləri və təsirləri araşdırılır. məqsəd insanlara, əmlaka və ətraf mühitə dəyə biləcək ziyanı azaltmaqdır. risklərin düzgün idarə olunması təhlükəsizliyi artırır və itkilərin qarşısını alır. bunun üçün qabaqlayıcı tədbirlər və təhlükəsizlik qaydaları tətbiq edilir.

• lecture
• seminar
• problem-based learning
• presentations
• interactive discussion
• case study
• teamwork

1. 1

   CLO 1: Explains the basic concepts, principles, stages and regulatory requirements of risk analysis and management, uses professional terminology correctly.

2. 2

   CLO 2: It identifies industrial, man-made, environmental and natural hazards, applies qualitative and quantitative risk assessment methods.

3. 3

   CLO 3: Analyzes results using computer technologies, software and statistics for risk assessment and monitoring.

4. 4

   CLO 4: Develops engineering-technical, organizational and preventive measures for risk reduction and management, evaluates their effectiveness.

5. 5

   CLO 5: It organizes emergency prevention, safety planning, decision-making and risk-communication processes.

6. 6

   CLO 6: Predicts various industrial and emergency risk scenarios, develops risk management strategies and makes informed decisions.

1. 1.
   Lecture 1. introduction. evaluation criteria of probable FH in the republic - natural and man-made hazards and their characteristicsLecture

   In this topic, the nature of natural and man-made threats, their main types and their characteristic features are studied. the evaluation criteria of possible emergency situations in the republic, their causes and environmental effects are explained.

   • • explains the types of natural and man-made hazards. • defines the characteristic features of hazards. • explains emergency assessment criteria. • analyzes the impact of hazards on the environment.
2. 2.
   Lecture 2. introduction. evaluation criteria of possible FH in the republic - concept of risk and its main indicatorsLecture

   In this topic, the concept of risk, the main indicators of risk and the principles of risk assessment are studied. the role of the concept of risk in emergency management and the main assessment criteria are explained.

   • • explains the concept of risk. • determines risk indicators. • distinguishes the principles of risk assessment. • analyzes risk indicators.
3. 3.
   Lecture 3. systematic risk analysis - risk identification and systematic analysis methodsLecture

   Methods of risk identification, systematic analysis and classification are studied in this topic. the principles of the interaction of risk factors, their assessment and the application of a systematic approach are explained.

   • • risklərin müəyyən edilməsi üsullarını izah edir. • systematizes risk factors. • risklərin sistemli təhlili metodlarını tətbiq edir. • evaluates analysis results.
4. 4.
   Lecture 4. systematic risk analysis - methods used in risk analysisLecture

   In this topic, the qualitative and quantitative methods used in risk analysis, their areas of application and advantages are studied. the principles of selection and application of methods used in risk assessment are explained.

   • • explains risk analysis methods. • differentiate between qualitative and quantitative methods. • selects an appropriate method for risk analysis. • evaluates the application of analytical methods.
5. 5.
   The spiritual life of society. social consciousness, its structure and formsLecture

   In this topic, the essence, structure and main forms of social consciousness are studied. the role of morality, religion, science, law and art in the life of society is analyzed. the importance of moral values ​​in social development is explained.

   • • determines risk indicators. • calculates risk indicators. • evaluates calculation results. • analyzes the areas of application of risk indicators.
6. 6.
   Lecture 6. general principles of process modeling in FH - analysis and modeling of risks in emergency situationsLecture

   In this topic, the general principles of modeling processes that occur in emergency situations, the role of modeling in risk analysis and areas of application are studied. the importance of models in risk prediction, assessment of possible scenarios and decision-making process is explained.

   • • explains the basic principles of modeling. • defines the stages of risk modeling. • evaluates the applicability of modeling. • analyzes modeling results.
7. 7.
   Lecture 7. the main principles of the systematic analysis of dangerous processes in FH - the main characteristics of the creation of a system in emergency situationsLecture

   In this topic, the main principles of the systematic analysis of dangerous processes in emergency situations and the features of the formation of safety systems are studied. interrelationships of dangerous processes, system elements and their functional characteristics are explained.

   • • explains the principles of systematic analysis of hazardous processes. • defines the main elements of the security system. • evaluates interactions between system elements. • analyzes the development of dangerous processes.
8. 8.
   Lecture 8. basics and main stages of risk management of fhs - risk management in emergency situationsLecture

   In this topic, the main principles, stages and application mechanisms of risk management in emergency situations are studied. the processes of risk reduction, control planning and management decision-making are explained.

   • • explains the stages of risk management. • identifies risk mitigation measures. • evaluates risk management techniques. • analyzes management decisions.
9. 9.
   Lecture 9. general structure of system analysis and synthesis. systemic security - system analysis and organizing the overall structure of the synthesisLecture

   In this topic, the concept of systemic security, the general structure of system analysis and synthesis is studied. the principles of applying the system approach to the planning and management of security measures are explained.

   • • explains the concept of systemic security. • defines the structure of system analysis and synthesis. • evaluates the applicability of a systems approach. • analyzes security systems.
10. 10.
    Lecture 10. stability assessment methods of engineering-technical systems - stability methodology and stability criteria of engineering-technical systemsLecture

    In this topic, methods of assessing the stability of engineering and technical systems, stability criteria and their application in emergency situations are studied. the factors affecting the reliability of systems and the methodology of stability assessment are explained.

    • • explains durability assessment methods. • defines sustainability criteria. • evaluates reliability of engineering and technical systems. • analyzes the role of resilience in risk management.
11. 11.
    Lecture 11. normative indicators of engineering and technical systems. potential hazards and risk - criteria used in the classification of risks and factors affecting riskLecture

    In this topic, the normative indicators of engineering and technical systems, the identification of potential dangers and the main criteria used in the classification of risks are studied. technical, natural and anthropogenic factors influencing the risk, their impact on the safety level and the principles of assessment are explained.

    • • explains the normative indicators of engineering and technical systems. • identifies potential hazards and risk factors. • differentiates risk classification criteria. • analyzes factors affecting risk.
12. 12.
    Lecture 12. methods of assessing the technical condition of engineering and technical systems - determination of technical diagnostics in determining the technical level of engineering and technical systemsLecture

    In this topic, the methods of assessing the technical condition of engineering and technical systems and the main functions of technical diagnostics are studied. the role of diagnostics in timely detection of technical faults, increasing reliability of systems and ensuring safe operation is explained.

    • • explains technical condition assessment methods. • defines the main functions of technical diagnostics. • evaluates the areas of application of technical diagnostics. • analyzes the technical condition of the systems.
13. 13.
    Lecture 13. accident risk assessment of engineering and technical systems - issues solved in risk assessment of engineering and technical systemsLecture

    In this topic, the principles of accident risk assessment in engineering and technical systems, the methods used and the main issues solved in this field are studied. determining the probability of an accident, assessing possible consequences and reducing risks are explained.

    • • explains the principles of accident risk assessment. • identifies the main issues to be solved in risk assessment. • apply accident risk assessment methods. • analyzes assessment results.
14. 14.
    Lecture 14. the purpose and quality indicators of the system of ensuring the safety of objects at the faculty of science - evaluation of the quality indicators of the safety and security of objects in emergency situationsLecture

    In this topic, the purpose, main functions and quality indicators of the system of ensuring the safety of objects in emergency situations are studied. the principles of planning security measures, increasing the stability of objects and evaluating security indicators are explained.

    • • explains the facility security system. • defines safety indicators. • evaluates the effectiveness of security measures. • analyzes the performance of the security system.
15. 15.
    Lecture 15. safety management in the FH - requirements for the level of security in the FH and threat modelingLecture

    In this topic, the basic principles of security management in emergency situations, security level requirements and methods of hazard modeling are studied. processes of security policy formulation, risk management and planning of security measures are explained.

    • • explains the basic principles of security management. • defines security level requirements. • evaluates hazard modeling techniques. • analyzes security management decisions.
16. 16.
    Workshop 1. to determine the probability value of the main risk factorsSeminar

    In this seminar, the main risk factors affecting the occurrence of emergency situations and the analysis of their probability values ​​are carried out. methods of assessing risk factors for various sources of danger are studied on the basis of practical examples.

    • • identifies risk factors. • applies risk probability assessment methods. • compares risk factors. • justifies assessment results.
17. 17.
    Azerbaijan during the period of the khanates.Seminar

    This topic examines the khanates that emerged in azerbaijan in the mid-eighteenth century following the decline of central authority. it focuses on their territories, borders, and systems of governance. the topic also explores the relations of the khanates with foreign states and their role in the political developments of the period.

    • • clo1: explains the key characteristics of the main periods of azerbaijani history.
    • • clo4: demonstrates the required basic knowledge and formulates independent views on course topics.
    • • clo2: clarifies selected controversial issues in azerbaijani history.
    • • clo3: develops an objective position on relevant historical issues.
    • • clo5:relates azerbaijan's ancient history to the modern era.
18. 18.
    Seminar 3. studying the principles of process modeling in FHSeminar

    In this workshop, the principles of modeling emergency processes are studied on the basis of practical examples. the main approaches to building, applying and evaluating the results of models are discussed.

    • • defines modeling stages. • builds simple models. • evaluates modeling results. • justifies the applicability of the models.
19. 19.
    Seminar 4. determining the service life of objects at certain prices of riskSeminar

    In this seminar exercise, the determination of operational periods of objects at different risk levels and the impact of risk on the reliability of technical systems are analyzed on practical examples.

    • • defines risk levels. • estimates operating times. • analyzes the relationship between risk and service life. • justifies conclusions.
20. 20.
    Workshop 5. system analysis and determination of the general structure of the synthesisSeminar

    In this workshop, the construction of the general structure of system analysis and synthesis, determination of the interrelationships of system elements, and the application of a systematic approach are studied on the basis of practical tasks.

    • • defines system elements. • builds the structure of the system. • analyzes relationships between elements. • justifies a systems approach.
21. 21.
    Seminar 7. basics and methods of determining risk during normal operation of engineering and technical systemsLecture

    In this seminar, methods of risk determination, calculation of risk indicators and evaluation of results are studied on the basis of practical examples of engineering and technical systems under normal operating conditions.

    • • determines risk indicators. • applies risk assessment methods. • analyzes calculation results. • justifies the level of risk.
22. 22.
    Seminar 8. studying the descriptive forms of the effects of hazards in FHSeminar

    In this seminar, the descriptive forms of the effects of hazards in emergency situations, their evaluation methods and the principles of presenting results are studied on the basis of practical examples.

    • • defines the forms of hazard description. • assesses the effects of hazards. • presents evaluation results. • justifies the proposed actions.
23. 23.
    Workshop 6. construction of the threat tree of man-made risksSeminar

    In this seminar, the construction of the hazard tree method used in the analysis of man-made risks, the determination of cause-effect relationships and the evaluation of risk scenarios are studied.

    • • defines the structure of the threat tree. • analyzes cause-effect relationships. • assesses man-made risks. • establishes the threat tree.

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2. Boris marchenko. risk analysis: the basics of risk management. russia: литрес, 2022.(opens in a new tab)
3. Adequate practice of managing emergency situations: basics of the guide to preparing emergency situations in the area of ​​animal health protection. food and agricultural organization of the united nations, 2022.
4. Zhuravlev p. и др. protection of populations and territories in emergency situations. m-2017.